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You are here: Home / Public Sector Pretrial Release and Some Really Fuzzy Math

Public Sector Pretrial Release and Some Really Fuzzy Math

December 20, 2013Posted by Eric Granofin News

Read the latest article from AIA’s Vice President of Corporate Communication, Eric Granof.  He discusses the fuzzy math and uncorrelated claims made by the public sector pretrial community.  Below is a snippet of the article and a link to the full version.

Pretrial Release and Fuzzy Math: Correlation Does Not Equal Causation
by Eric Granof

I recently read an article that discussed how pretrial detention creates more crime.  This is an argument that has been made for decades by proponents of public sector pretrial release.  They say that when defendants are held in jail longer than 24 hours and as little as 2-3 days they are 40% more likely to commit new crimes before their trial.  So spending 2-3 days in jail has the ability to make you a more prolific criminal…or simply put another way, the “cause” is jail time and the “effect” is more criminal activity. 

While on the surface most people who don’t know anything about the criminal justice system might see this as a horrible statistic that needs to be addressed, let me shed some light on this scenario.  What the article and research does not share with readers is that in a large number of jurisdictions across the country, there are laws that require that defendants…

Read the complete article here: Pretrial Release and Fuzzy Math

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